VICTORIA'S bellwether seat of Seymour fell to the Liberals last Saturday, proving once again whoever wins the seat wins government.

With almost 80 per cent the vote counted, Liberal candidate Cindy McLeish took out the seat with 51.65 per cent of the vote, after preferences.

Ms McLeish said it was clear Seymour voters were looking for change.

"People were saying they'd had this government for 11 years and asking where's the progress," Ms McLeish said.

"A lot of smaller towns' businesses are closing down."

Outgoing Labor MP Ben Hardman said he had struggled on at least six battlefronts during the campaign, ranging from bushfire recovery to land taxes.

Mr Hardman acknowledged he had suffered a massive swing against him in Yea and Seymour.

He said voters vented their anger at the Labor Government's decision to build the controversial north-south pipeline from the Goulburn River to Melbourne.

"I've been punished in Yea, Yarra Glen, Dixon - along the pipeline route," Mr Hardman said.

In Yea Mr Hardman's primary vote was just 204, compared to the Independent Plug the Pipe candidate Jan Beer's count of 410 votes.

In Beveridge, Mr Hardman was punished on the Government's imposition of a $95,000-a-hectare Growth Areas Infrastructure Contribution, where he gained just 77 of the 296 votes cast at the local polling booth.

Mr Hardman said the Coalition's planning policy restricting wind farm developments slashed his vote at the Tooborac booth where he gained just 23 per cent of the primary vote.

"But on a positive note we've done well in (the bushfire affected communities) of Flowerdale, Kinglake and Kinglake West," Mr Hardman said.

In the electorate's west Hardman said the Coalition's $130 million promise to build a Kilmore-Wallan bypass and commitments to connect Wandong to natural gas had also reduced his vote. Ms Beer gained 10.65 per cent of the primary vote, the Greens 7.95 per cent, Country Alliance 4.53 per cent and Nationals 4 per cent.