WESTERN Australia Premier Colin Barnett is poised to win a second term, with a poll tipping the Liberals could rule in its own right.
An exclusive Galaxy poll of West Australians, commissioned by The Sunday Times, shows the Liberals and Nationals enjoy a commanding 56-44 lead over Labor on a two-party preferred basis.
But the poll, which has a history of giving the most accurate prediction of voter intentions, found the Liberals could win as many as six seats from the Labor Party. They could also pick up two seats from independents.
That would give the Liberals up to 32 seats and Labor as few as 20.
Yet, the poll found Labor leader Mark McGowan had closed the gap on the question of preferred premier.
With two weeks to election day, key findings from the poll included:
* The Liberal/National Government has a commanding 56-44 lead over Labor on a two-party preferred basis. This is up from 51.9-48.1 at the 2008 state election.
* Primary support for the Liberal Party is now 43 per cent more than four points higher than in 2008.
* Support for the Labor Party is at 35 per cent, about the same level as last time.
* On the question of preferred premier, Colin Barnett leads Mark McGowan by only a slim margin of 49 to 43 per cent.
* On the key issue of which party voters are more likely to trust to manage the state economy and finances, the Liberal Party leads Labor 54 to 37 per cent.
* The Labor Party is considered to have the best plan to improve public transport, with a lead of 46 to 40 per cent.
The poll was conducted from Tuesday to Thursday, based on a sample of 800 voters across the state.
A similar poll by Galaxy ahead of the last state election was the only one to correctly predict the outcome.
While other media claimed that Labor would cruise to victory, Galaxy warned voters would punish then-Labor premier Alan Carpenter and The Sunday Times predicted the result would be a hung Parliament.
The poll was spot on, with neither Mr Barnett nor Mr Carpenter having the numbers to form government on their own in 2008 and the Liberals relying on the Nationals to secure victory.
Galaxy managing director David Briggs said the Liberals were looking good this time around.
"If a swing of this magnitude (about four points) is observed at the ballot box (on March 9), on a uniform basis the Liberal Party would pick up six seats from Labor."
Mr Briggs said the Liberals could pick up Albany, Forrestfield, Collie-Preston, Balcatta, Joondalup and West Swan.
"In addition, the Liberals and Nationals stand to win seats formerly held by independents," he said.
"The Liberals could also win Alfred Cove and Churchlands, held by independents, while the Nationals could win Kalgoorlie.
"This would ensure that the Barnett Government was returned with an increased majority in the new Parliament.
"Support for the Nationals is also higher than the vote achieved in 2008, at 7 per cent."
But Mr Briggs said voters were also sending a message to Mr Barnett about his tenure as Premier.
"In terms of the preferred premier, Colin Barnett does enjoy a lead over Mark McGowan, but given he has had four years as Premier and Mark McGowan has only been Labor leader for a year, the results suggest voters in WA have not been overwhelmed by Colin Barnett's performance," Mr Briggs said.
"The poll confirms the perception that the Liberal Party is better at managing the state's economy and have the best plan to improve law and order.
"What is surprising is the Liberal Party is perceived to have the best plan for health and education, and these are typically Labor strengths."
Read more at PerthNow.